Issues to keep an eye on QE Tapering

Issues to keep an eye on QE Tapering

The Fed's meeting on the night of September 22, 2021, the market is expected to be the first step of QE tapering after the Fed has taken monetary easing. to cope with the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak and stock market turmoil fueled by concerns the Evergrande crisis will affect markets around the world.

The key point is Dot Plot interest rate forecasts.

Previously, the Fed had predicted that skyrocketing inflation was only temporary. This contradicts some Fed members who are of the opinion that High inflation is not temporary. Some members of the Fed want to raise interest rates faster in 2022 and 2023, which could have a negative impact on stock markets.

The Fed has emphasized that the QE tapering is not a signal of a rate hike.

Rick Rieder is of the view that the Fed just wants QE tapering to ease, but bond markets remain focused on expectations of interest rate hikes and inflation.

Mark Cabana expects the Fed to slightly revise its economic forecast. Therefore, he has the same opinion with Anwiti Bahuguna that the point that should be emphasized is the dot plot, where the Fed is expected to not raise interest rates in 2022, but will raise 3 times in 2024.

Deutsche and Evercore ISI are of the view that the Fed will raise interest rates three times in 2023 and all expect the Fed not to raise rates until the end of 2022.

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